Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.028286 2.119125 2.214851 2.323791 2.445035 2.576673 2.731580
2025-04-13 1.874159 1.996929 2.132169 2.294021 2.485049 2.706892 2.989732
2025-04-20 1.805260 1.950299 2.115249 2.320279 2.573808 2.885439 3.312858
2025-04-27 1.769518 1.934304 2.126961 2.374708 2.694740 3.110894 3.727964
2025-05-04 1.715935 1.891332 2.100474 2.376227 2.744515 3.245520 4.039926
2025-05-11 1.670828 1.854597 2.077457 2.377813 2.791247 3.378124 4.373645
2025-05-18 1.610991 1.796010 2.022777 2.332706 2.767815 3.403497 4.535063
2025-05-25 1.573057 1.762472 1.997466 2.323919 2.793092 3.503139 4.848202
2025-06-01 1.537233 1.729681 1.970948 2.310923 2.809853 3.589855 5.159913
2025-06-08 1.503220 1.697600 1.943500 2.294345 2.818912 3.663790 5.467638
2025-06-15 1.485676 1.685709 1.941744 2.313087 2.882373 3.837993 6.065107
2025-06-22 1.444230 1.641306 1.894566 2.263966 2.835263 3.808630 6.154057
2025-06-29 1.404810 1.599364 1.850507 2.219161 2.795017 3.793149 6.296057
2025-07-06 1.373890 1.567762 1.819475 2.192036 2.781667 3.827420 6.600133
2025-07-13 1.362903 1.561910 1.823105 2.215818 2.853262 4.036790 7.577690
2025-07-20 1.361099 1.567985 1.843145 2.265016 2.972276 4.368701 9.408835
2025-07-27 1.343895 1.552710 1.832529 2.266388 3.007717 4.527959 10.809147
2025-08-03 1.327716 1.538272 1.822442 2.267819 3.043098 4.695090 12.685487
2025-08-10 1.299415 1.506592 1.786731 2.227063 2.997429 4.656498 13.079067
2025-08-17 1.282407 1.489936 1.772050 2.219112 3.012538 4.774758 15.221824
2025-08-24 1.265088 1.472406 1.755524 2.207348 3.019343 4.873507 17.820108
2025-08-31 1.247617 1.454245 1.737521 2.192330 3.018615 4.952387 20.991670
2025-09-07 1.240212 1.449753 1.739175 2.209307 3.081839 5.228534 34.251671